Monetary Policy Neglect and the Great Inflation in Canada, Australia, and New Zealand.
by Edward Nelson
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Abstract
This paper studies the Great Inflation in Canada,
Australia, and New Zealand. Newspaper coverage and policymakers’
statements are used to analyze the views on the
inflation process that led to the 1970s macroeconomic policies,
and the different movement in each country away from
1970s views. I argue that to understand the course of policy in
each country, it is crucial to use the monetary policy neglect
hypothesis, which claims that the Great Inflation occurred because
policymakers delegated inflation control to nonmonetary
devices. This hypothesis helps explain why, unlike Canada,
Australia and New Zealand continued to suffer high inflation
in the mid-1980s. The delayed disinflation in these countries
reflected the continuing importance accorded to nonmonetary
views of inflation.
JEL Codes: E31, E52, E58, E64
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